Apollo Tyres (ATL) is a leading tyre manufacturer, with operations in India & Europe with an installed capacity of ~7.9 lakh MT p.a. In India, ATL has substantial presence in TBR (31% market share) & PCR space (21% market share)
The company posted muted operational performance in Q4FY22
ATL’s stock price has de-grown at ~3% CAGR from ~₹ 227 levels in May 2017, underperforming Nifty Auto Index in that time.
We retain our BUY rating on ATL amidst management intent on sweating on assets, controlled capex spends and return ratios focus for the business
Rolling over our valuations, we now value ATL at a target price of ₹250 i.e., 5.25x FY24E EV/EBITDA (previous target price: ₹ 270).
Apart from ATL, in our ancillary coverage we like JK Tyre.
Key Financials | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22P | 5 year CAGR (FY17-22P) | FY23E | FY24E | 2 year CAGR (FY22-24E) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Sales | 17,548.8 | 16,327.0 | 17,344.0 | 20,947.6 | 9.7 | 24,051.3 | 25,775.3 | 10.9 |
EBITDA | 1,958.9 | 1,915.6 | 2,744.5 | 2,574.1 | 6.9 | 3,003.6 | 3,489.2 | 16.4 |
EBITDA Margins (%) | 11.2 | 11.7 | 15.8 | 12.3 | - | 12.5 | 13.5 | - |
Net Profit | 680.0 | 476.4 | 350.2 | 638.6 | -10.3 | 932.9 | 1,318.7 | 43.7 |
EPS (₹) | 11.9 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 10.1 | - | 14.7 | 20.8 | - |
P/E | 16.8 | 24.0 | 36.3 | 19.9 | - | 13.6 | 9.6 | - |
RoNW (%) | 8.3 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 5.5 | - | 7.5 | 9.9 | - |
RoCE (%) | 7.3 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 6.3 | - | 8.1 | 10.6 | - |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Q4FY22 Results:
Q4FY22 Earnings Conference Call highlights
Exports were primarily led by north American & middle east markets & ATL expects healthy growth in export markets.
Gross debt at consolidated basis stood at ~₹6,100 crores with net debt at ~₹4,600 crores
Company is focusing on developing special tyres for EV space and is currently under R&D stage.
Rise in depreciation & interest costs was on account of capex in AP plant and new leases taken.
PCR segment witnessed headwinds of semiconductor shortage, further demand from farm segment remained muted, however CV demand remained strong. Replacement demand remained flat QoQ.
Company lost some market share in the replacement market due to price hike taken by ATL ahead of competition
Peak revenue generation capability with 100% capacity utilization is pegged at ~₹25,000-26,000 crores on consolidated basis
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