Resaons for the Fall of IT Stocks

In the last one week, Information Technology (IT) stocks have fallen considerably. All the IT stocks are falling, and it's not just one or two. Why are IT stocks falling, and what does it mean for investors? We try to answer these questions for you in this article.

Indices to monitor IT stocks

We can track the performance of IT companies through the Nifty IT index. The index has 10 companies in it. The index has fallen more than 1000 points last week. From its peak of 43,645 on 17 September, it stood at 42,375 last Friday. On Monday, it fell further to slide below 42,000 for the first time this month.

Despite the recent fall, the index has given good returns in the last one year (27.43%). In the last week or so, the index has fallen, as mentioned above. In the six-month time frame also, the index delivered 17% returns. The essential question for investors is why the IT stocks falling suddenly?

Why are IT stocks falling?

Below are two primary reasons for the recent fall in price of IT companies:

• Profit Booking: As mentioned in the previous section, the IT sector has given a strong runup in recent months. Since June, most IT stocks have been on a bullish run. The Nifty IT index has closed on the green for the last three consecutive months. Between June and August, the index surged by 32%. So, one of the reasons for this fall is partial profit booking - most investors want to lock in their profits.
• News from Accenture: Accenture's performance is seen as a benchmark for Indian IT companies. Whenever, there is negative news around Accenture, the Indian IT stock price declines too. Last week, Accenture announced that it may delay its annual promotions by 6 months. The announcement suggests that there is a prolonged downturn in the technology/consultancy industry. The ley in annual promotion is raising fears of slowdown in client spending. With the possibility of reduced demand from US clients and concerns over currency fluctuations, investors are cautious and opting to secure profits before any possible downturn. This cautious sentiment is reflected in the current decline in IT stocks.

List of IT stocks that are top losers

Below are 10 IT companies in the Nifty IT index and their performance in recent times

*as of 23 September, 2024

What is the future of the IT industry in India?

Despite recent market fluctuations, the Indian IT sector remains poised for robust growth. India's close ties to global markets, while occasionally leading to short-term volatility, offer long-term potential.

The emergence of Generative AI (GenAI) is a significant driver of future growth. As companies transition from pilot projects to full-scale AI adoption, IT service firms will benefit from increased demand for model training, cloud migration, and large language model management.

Sectors like banking, healthcare, and manufacturing are expected to spearhead IT spending growth. With interest rates stabilizing, these capital-intensive industries will likely invest more in IT services, infrastructure, and modernization projects.

Global Capability Centers  are evolving from cost-saving hubs to strategic IT partners. This shift, especially for Fortune 500 companies, is driving increased IT expenditure. While short-term challenges persist, the Indian IT sector's long-term outlook remains optimistic, fueled by technological advancements and growing demand from key sectors.

The government's recent decisions in the IT industry

Below are two announcements of the government related to the IT industry:

1. Data Localization in the Indian IT Industry

Data localization refers to the requirement for companies to store and process data within India. The Indian government has emphasized data localization as a means to promote data security, protect privacy, and create opportunities for domestic IT companies. Domestic IT companies are investing in data centers and cloud infrastructure to meet the data localization requirements. Data localization can increase job creation in the IT sector as companies hire professionals to manage and process data locally.

2. Skill Development Initiatives

To meet the growing demand for skilled IT professionals, the Indian government has launched several initiatives to enhance skill development:

• Digital India Mission: This flagship program aims to promote digital literacy and skills development nationwide.
• National Skill Development Mission: This mission focuses on providing vocational training and skill development programs to meet the needs of the industry.
• Industry-Academia Partnerships: The government encourages collaboration between industry and academia to bridge the skills gap and ensure that graduates are equipped with the necessary skills for the IT sector.

Before you go

Investors should note that market fluctuations are a normal part of investing, and a short-term decline does not necessarily indicate long-term bearishness for the sector. As an investor, you should track the pointers that can have positive and negative outcomes for the IT sector in India and make your investing decision accordingly.