Kansai Nerolac (KNL) is a global leader in industrial coatings (auto). However, in the last 10 years, it has increased its decorative paint mix to ~55% of its topline. Currently, KNL is the third largest decorative paint player in India.
Revenue growth supported by better demand across segments.
KNL’s share price has given negative return over the past five years (from ₹ 506 in May 2018 to ₹ 407 levels in May 2023).
We maintain our HOLD rating on the stock
We value the stock at 35x P/E FY25E EPS and revise our target price to ₹ 440.
We like Supreme Industries in our coverage.
(| Crore) | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | 5 Year CAGR (18-23) | FY24E | FY25E | 2 Year CAGR (23-25E) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Sales | 5,280.0 | 5,074.3 | 6,369.4 | 7,542.7 | 10.1 | 8,307.9 | 9,383.7 | 11.5 |
EBITDA | 804.5 | 863.3 | 649.4 | 818.0 | 0.6 | 980.3 | 1,159.7 | 19.1 |
EBITDA Margin (%) | 15.2 | 17.0 | 10.2 | 10.8 | - | 11.8 | 12.4 | - |
Net Profit | 515.8 | 525.7 | 343.2 | 468.5 | -1.8 | 574.9 | 686.9 | 21.1 |
EPS (|) | 9.6 | 9.8 | 6.4 | 8.7 | - | 10.7 | 12.7 | - |
P/E (x) | 42.5 | 41.7 | 63.9 | 46.8 | - | 38.2 | 31.9 | - |
Price/Book (x) | 5.9 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 4.8 | - | 4.9 | 4.5 | - |
Mcap/Sales (x) | 4.2 | 4.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | - | 2.6 | 2.3 | - |
RoE (%) | 13.8 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 10.3 | - | 13.0 | 14.1 | - |
RoCE (%) | 17.7 | 17.5 | 11.7 | 14.0 | - | 17.4 | 19.0 | - |
Q4FY23 Results: Healthy revenue growth, margin under pressure
Q4FY23 Earnings Conference Call highlights
RATING RATIONALE
ICICI Direct endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICI Direct assigns ratings to its stocks according -to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorizes them as Buy, Hold, Reduce and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional target price is defined as the analysts valuation for a stock
Buy: >15%
Hold: -5% to 15%;
Reduce: -15% to -5%;
Sell: <-15%
Pankaj Pandey |
Head – Research |
pankaj.pandey@icicisecurities.com |
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ICICI Direct Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, Third floor, Brillanto House, Road No 13, MIDC, Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093 |
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research@icicidirect.com |
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