Pidilite is a market leader in the adhesive and sealants business.
EBITDA margin pressure continues due to delay in price hike. Lower volume offtake is attributable to supply disruption
Pidilite’s share price has grown by ~2.8x over the past five years (from ~₹ 761 in May 2017 to ~₹ 2100 levels in May 2022).
We value Pidilite at ₹ 2000, 62x P/E of FY24E EPS
We like Supreme Industries in our coverage universe.
(Rs# Crore) | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | 5 Year CAGR(FY17-FY22) | FY23E | FY24E | 2 Year CAGR (FY22-FY24E) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales | 7,078.0 | 7,294.5 | 7,292.7 | 9,921.0 | 12.1 | 10,874.2 | 12,126.1 | 10.6 |
EBITDA | 1,368.2 | 1,576.0 | 1,680.6 | 1,847.3 | 8.0 | 1,975.1 | 2,426.4 | 14.6 |
EBITDA Margin(%) | 19.3 | 21.6 | 23.0 | 18.6 | - | 18.2 | 20.0 | - |
Net Profit | 928.4 | 1,122.1 | 1,126.1 | 1,206.8 | 6.9 | 1,318.5 | 1,634.4 | 16.4 |
EPS (|) | 18.3 | 22.1 | 22.2 | 23.8 | - | 26.0 | 32.2 | - |
P/E(x) | 114.9 | 95.0 | 94.7 | 88.4 | - | 80.9 | 65.2 | - |
Price /book (x) | 25.7 | 23.9 | 19.1 | 16.7 | - | 15.4 | 14.0 | - |
Mcap /sales (x) | 15.1 | 14.6 | 14.6 | 10.7 | - | 9.8 | 8.8 | - |
RoE (%) | 22.6 | 26.1 | 20.2 | 18.8 | - | 19.1 | 21.4 | - |
RoCE (%) | 29.5 | 31.0 | 23.8 | 22.2 | - | 22.6 | 25.6 | - |
Q4FY22 Results:
Q4FY22 Earnings Conference Call highlights:
Q4FY22 | Q4FY22E | Q4FY21 | YoY (%) | Q3FY22 | QoQ (%) | Comments | ||
Revenue | 2507.1 | 2437.2 | 2235.5 | 12.1 | 2850.7 | -12.1 | Strong revenue growth led by price hike (of ~15%), while the volume offtake were impacted by pandemic led disruption in Q4FY22 | |
Other Income | 11.1 | 4.4 | 17.3 | -35.9 | 5.2 | 114.9 | ||
Raw Material Exp | 1416.3 | 1301.9 | 1099.6 | 28.8 | 1608.3 | -11.9 | Higher raw mateial prices (Avg consumption cost of VAM increased by ~105% YoY to US$2420/t) led decline in gross margins by ~730 bps YoY | |
Employee Exp | 278.6 | 278.9 | 262.7 | 6.1 | 280.0 | -0.5 | ||
Admin & Other exp | 411.1 | 393.7 | 412.4 | -0.3 | 413.4 | -0.5 | Various cost optimisation measures help savings in the other exp | |
Total Expenditure | 2106.0 | 1974.5 | 1774.7 | 18.7 | 2301.7 | -8.5 | ||
EBITDA | 401.1 | 462.7 | 460.8 | -13.0 | 549.0 | -26.9 | ||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 16.0 | 19.0 | 20.6 | -461 bps | 19.3 | -326 bps | Lower gross margin was partially offset by savings in other cost, As a result EBITDA margin fall was limited to 461 bps YoY | |
Depreciation | 62.2 | 61.0 | 57.2 | 8.7 | 60.5 | 2.9 | ||
Interest | 9.4 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 25.7 | 10.8 | -13.0 | ||
Exceptional items | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 0.0 | NM | |||
PBT | 340.7 | 398.1 | 409.9 | -16.9 | 483.0 | -29.5 | ||
Total Tax | 91.5 | 105.1 | 103.8 | -11.8 | 127.5 | -28.2 | ||
PAT | 254.4 | 298.3 | 307.4 | -17.3 | 359.2 | -29.2 | Bottomline decline was attributable to decline in EBITDA and lower other income | |
Key Metrics | ||||||||
Consumer & Bazaar | 1,913.2 | 1,901.5 | 1,730.3 | 10.6 | 2,264.5 | -15.5 | On standalone basis, C&B segment revenue increased by 10% YoY led by by price hike (of ~15%) | |
B2B | 645.3 | 549.7 | 535.0 | 20.6 | 618.6 | 4.3 | B2B segment also witnessed price led growth during Q4 | |
Others | 18.8 | 27.7 | 17.4 | 7.9 | 20.5 | -8.3 |
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