Trent is India’s leading retailer with a presence across various consumer categories (600+ stores). Inherent strength of brands (Westside, Zudio, Star, Zara) and accelerated store additions has led Trent to be among the fastest growing companies in our retail coverage universe.
Trent reported superlative sales number with growth beating our/consensus estimates. Acceptance of Zudio as a value fashion brand has been a game changer for Trent leading to fastest growing apparel company in India.
Trent has been an exceptional performer with stock price appreciating at ~33% CAGR in the last five years.
We value Trent at ₹ 1730 based on SOTP valuation.
Apart from Trent, we also like Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail.
Particulars | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | 5 year CAGR (FY17-22) | FY23E | FY24E | 2 year CAGR (FY22-24E) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Sales | 2,630.2 | 3,486.0 | 2,593.0 | 4,498.0 | 20.0 | 8,130.9 | 9,526.4 | 45.5 |
EBITDA | 227.7 | 544.0 | 171.9 | 573.9 | - | 1,152.1 | 1,460.4 | 59.5 |
PAT | 97.0 | 122.8 | -146.2 | 105.8 | 13.0 | 500.4 | 676.5 | - |
EV/Sales (x) | 17.1 | 13.5 | 18.2 | 10.6 | - | 5.8 | 4.9 | - |
EV/EBITDA (x) | 197.5 | 86.6 | 274.5 | 82.8 | - | 41.2 | 32.2 | - |
RoCE (%) | 10.1 | 15.9 | 4.3 | 14.1 | - | 29.0 | 32.7 | - |
RoE (%) | 5.9 | 5.1 | -6.3 | 4.5 | - | 18.3 | 20.8 | - |
Trent has, over the years, consistently outperformed peers given the strong brand patronage (Westside, Zudio, Star, Zara) and proven business model (Westside: 100% private label). Healthy beat on the topline front, warrants upward revision to our revenue estimates for FY23-24E. We expect Westside and Zudio formats to report revenue CAGR of 29% and 59%, respectively, in FY20-24E. We expect the growth trajectory to marginally moderate on a very strong base with Zudio gaining substantial scale. Share of the Zudio format in standalone revenues is expected to increase to 37% by FY24E. Furthermore, a sharp increase in profits in share of associates (Zara and Star Bazar) during 9MFY23 is a key positive and signals emphasis on cost cutting measures and its journey towards improving profitability of the ‘Star’ format. We build in revenue, EBITDA CAGR of 29% and 28%, respectively, in FY20-24E. Industry leading performance and consistent revenue growth to support premium valuations. We recommend BUY and maintain our target price of | 1730
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